XLY Probabilities - Based on Wed Jul 16 2025
Best Probability: SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
240 (53 clusters)
Increase probability:
55.96% (± 7.27%)
Return:
0.43 ± 4.95 %
($220.41 ± 10.85)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03
No Filter (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
6661 (1 clusters)
Increase probability:
61.91% (± 1.35%)
Return:
1.31 ± 7.59 %
($222.35 ± 16.66)
Indicators used:
No Filter
RSI around 56.28 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
1382 (296 clusters)
Increase probability:
61.87% (± 2.96%)
Return:
1.33 ± 6.94 %
($222.39 ± 15.23)
Indicators used:
RSI around 56.28
RSI Slope decreasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
3234 (298 clusters)
Increase probability:
61.35% (± 1.94%)
Return:
1.32 ± 7.94 %
($222.37 ± 17.43)
Indicators used:
RSI Slope decreasing
MACD Histogram < 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
3302 (195 clusters)
Increase probability:
60.75% (± 1.93%)
Return:
1.29 ± 8.07 %
($222.3 ± 17.72)
Indicators used:
MACD Histogram < 0
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
1699 (296 clusters)
Increase probability:
61.98% (± 2.67%)
Return:
1.16 ± 6.52 %
($222.02 ± 14.3)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03
Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1450 (102 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.83% (± 2.80%)
Return:
1.68 ± 5.91 %
($223.16 ± 12.97)
Indicators used:
Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Middle Keltner Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
4181 (148 clusters)
Increase probability:
61.85% (± 1.70%)
Return:
1.16 ± 6.51 %
($222.02 ± 14.28)
Indicators used:
Middle Keltner Slope increasing
SMA50 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
4314 (58 clusters)
Increase probability:
60.78% (± 1.69%)
Return:
1.07 ± 6.73 %
($221.83 ± 14.77)
Indicators used:
SMA50 Slope increasing
SMA100 Slope decreasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
2066 (45 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.81% (± 2.38%)
Return:
2.07 ± 9.79 %
($224.01 ± 21.49)
Indicators used:
SMA100 Slope decreasing
SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
4919 (24 clusters)
Increase probability:
63.63% (± 1.56%)
Return:
1.32 ± 6.35 %
($222.36 ± 13.93)
Indicators used:
SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
1343 (124 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.11% (± 2.97%)
Return:
1.33 ± 6.08 %
($222.4 ± 13.35)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1389 (39 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.52% (± 2.87%)
Return:
1.56 ± 6.52 %
($222.89 ± 14.3)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.09 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
466 (52 clusters)
Increase probability:
62.55% (± 5.08%)
Return:
0.94 ± 5.79 %
($221.54 ± 12.71)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.09
Date around YYYY-07-16 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
512 (26 clusters)
Increase probability:
49.22% (± 5.01%)
Return:
-0.05 ± 8.29 %
($219.37 ± 18.19)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-07-16
RSI around 56.28, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
260 (100 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.62% (± 6.72%)
Return:
1.70 ± 6.78 %
($223.2 ± 14.88)
Indicators used:
RSI around 56.28, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
RSI around 56.28, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
257 (93 clusters)
Increase probability:
61.09% (± 6.90%)
Return:
1.46 ± 6.74 %
($222.67 ± 14.79)
Indicators used:
RSI around 56.28, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
RSI around 56.28, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
977 (242 clusters)
Increase probability:
63.87% (± 3.48%)
Return:
1.35 ± 5.91 %
($222.44 ± 12.98)
Indicators used:
RSI around 56.28, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
445 (105 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.27% (± 5.15%)
Return:
1.90 ± 6.22 %
($223.65 ± 13.66)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
1165 (180 clusters)
Increase probability:
60.52% (± 3.25%)
Return:
0.91 ± 5.44 %
($221.47 ± 11.94)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
1171 (209 clusters)
Increase probability:
62.94% (± 3.20%)
Return:
1.13 ± 5.21 %
($221.95 ± 11.43)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
330 (101 clusters)
Increase probability:
63.33% (± 6.02%)
Return:
1.85 ± 6.26 %
($223.53 ± 13.74)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
3740 (47 clusters)
Increase probability:
63.40% (± 1.79%)
Return:
1.25 ± 5.98 %
($222.22 ± 13.12)
Indicators used:
SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
829 (94 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.78% (± 3.76%)
Return:
1.33 ± 5.98 %
($222.4 ± 13.12)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, RSI around 56.28, MACD Histogram < 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
97 (32 clusters)
Increase probability:
53.61% (± 11.48%)
Return:
0.33 ± 4.27 %
($220.2 ± 9.36)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, RSI around 56.28, MACD Histogram < 0
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
71 (27 clusters)
Increase probability:
71.03% (± 12.21%)
Return:
2.21 ± 6.39 %
($224.31 ± 14.03)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
792 (46 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.42% (± 3.78%)
Return:
1.40 ± 4.87 %
($222.54 ± 10.68)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
745 (31 clusters)
Increase probability:
63.89% (± 3.99%)
Return:
1.04 ± 4.85 %
($221.75 ± 10.65)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
156 (19 clusters)
Increase probability:
58.29% (± 8.95%)
Return:
0.84 ± 5.14 %
($221.32 ± 11.27)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
240 (53 clusters)
Increase probability:
55.96% (± 7.27%)
Return:
0.43 ± 4.95 %
($220.41 ± 10.85)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
63 (16 clusters)
Increase probability:
61.70% (± 13.89%)
Return:
3.34 ± 6.39 %
($226.79 ± 14.03)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.01, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.09, RSI around 56.28 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
101 (28 clusters)
Increase probability:
53.21% (± 11.26%)
Return:
0.18 ± 5.86 %
($219.87 ± 12.87)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.09, RSI around 56.28
Date around YYYY-07-16, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
137 (15 clusters)
Increase probability:
46.43% (± 9.66%)
Return:
-0.86 ± 6.74 %
($217.57 ± 14.78)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-07-16, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Date around YYYY-07-16, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
308 (17 clusters)
Increase probability:
42.53% (± 6.39%)
Return:
-0.90 ± 6.43 %
($217.49 ± 14.12)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-07-16, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Date around YYYY-07-16, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Middle Keltner Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
266 (18 clusters)
Increase probability:
37.74% (± 6.74%)
Return:
-1.34 ± 6.40 %
($216.54 ± 14.04)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-07-16, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Middle Keltner Slope increasing