SPY Probabilities - Based on Tue Jun 24 2025
Best Probability: SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
504 (33 clusters)
Increase probability:
71.63% (± 4.55%)
Return:
1.95 ± 4.41 %
($618.63 ± 26.77)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
No Filter (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
8136 (1 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.06% (± 1.20%)
Return:
1.41 ± 5.76 %
($615.35 ± 34.92)
Indicators used:
No Filter
RSI around 65.15 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
1377 (249 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.71% (± 2.92%)
Return:
1.10 ± 4.61 %
($613.47 ± 27.98)
Indicators used:
RSI around 65.15
RSI Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
4299 (337 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.46% (± 1.64%)
Return:
1.34 ± 5.52 %
($614.89 ± 33.47)
Indicators used:
RSI Slope increasing
MACD Histogram < 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
3979 (257 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.77% (± 1.72%)
Return:
1.40 ± 6.26 %
($615.26 ± 38)
Indicators used:
MACD Histogram < 0
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
1525 (288 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.35% (± 2.78%)
Return:
1.33 ± 5.72 %
($614.84 ± 34.74)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1927 (125 clusters)
Increase probability:
68.76% (± 2.39%)
Return:
1.59 ± 4.85 %
($616.42 ± 29.45)
Indicators used:
Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Middle Keltner Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
5372 (166 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.06% (± 1.47%)
Return:
1.23 ± 4.77 %
($614.23 ± 28.97)
Indicators used:
Middle Keltner Slope increasing
SMA50 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
5762 (66 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.57% (± 1.42%)
Return:
1.28 ± 4.73 %
($614.52 ± 28.7)
Indicators used:
SMA50 Slope increasing
SMA100 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
6002 (37 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.19% (± 1.37%)
Return:
1.46 ± 4.82 %
($615.62 ± 29.26)
Indicators used:
SMA100 Slope increasing
SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
6315 (23 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.38% (± 1.34%)
Return:
1.49 ± 4.85 %
($615.84 ± 29.4)
Indicators used:
SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
2038 (129 clusters)
Increase probability:
68.94% (± 2.32%)
Return:
1.50 ± 4.49 %
($615.9 ± 27.24)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.05
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
1107 (29 clusters)
Increase probability:
63.69% (± 3.28%)
Return:
1.73 ± 6.13 %
($617.27 ± 37.17)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.29 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
267 (26 clusters)
Increase probability:
62.46% (± 6.72%)
Return:
0.89 ± 4.25 %
($612.21 ± 25.8)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.29
Date around YYYY-06-24 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
627 (32 clusters)
Increase probability:
69.70% (± 4.16%)
Return:
1.55 ± 5.41 %
($616.18 ± 32.84)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-06-24
RSI around 65.15, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
354 (95 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.40% (± 5.65%)
Return:
1.33 ± 4.98 %
($614.85 ± 30.2)
Indicators used:
RSI around 65.15, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
RSI around 65.15, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
270 (85 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.96% (± 6.44%)
Return:
1.27 ± 5.03 %
($614.49 ± 30.49)
Indicators used:
RSI around 65.15, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
RSI around 65.15, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1255 (225 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.49% (± 3.00%)
Return:
1.23 ± 4.61 %
($614.26 ± 27.94)
Indicators used:
RSI around 65.15, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
526 (115 clusters)
Increase probability:
70.43% (± 4.51%)
Return:
1.59 ± 4.77 %
($616.41 ± 28.93)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1036 (166 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.28% (± 3.35%)
Return:
1.27 ± 4.63 %
($614.49 ± 28.07)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1115 (198 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.40% (± 3.21%)
Return:
1.32 ± 4.75 %
($614.82 ± 28.8)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
495 (112 clusters)
Increase probability:
71.81% (± 4.59%)
Return:
1.63 ± 4.77 %
($616.69 ± 28.93)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
5088 (61 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.28% (± 1.49%)
Return:
1.40 ± 4.49 %
($615.25 ± 27.22)
Indicators used:
SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.05, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1623 (124 clusters)
Increase probability:
68.52% (± 2.61%)
Return:
1.45 ± 4.15 %
($615.55 ± 25.2)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.05, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.05, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, RSI around 65.15, MACD Histogram < 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
89 (33 clusters)
Increase probability:
69.46% (± 11.07%)
Return:
1.54 ± 4.04 %
($616.13 ± 24.49)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.05, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, RSI around 65.15, MACD Histogram < 0
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.05, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
157 (38 clusters)
Increase probability:
70.27% (± 8.27%)
Return:
1.86 ± 4.43 %
($618.05 ± 26.86)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.05, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
504 (33 clusters)
Increase probability:
71.63% (± 4.55%)
Return:
1.95 ± 4.41 %
($618.63 ± 26.77)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
430 (24 clusters)
Increase probability:
75.35% (± 4.71%)
Return:
2.30 ± 4.28 %
($620.76 ± 26)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
130 (16 clusters)
Increase probability:
74.18% (± 8.70%)
Return:
2.25 ± 4.36 %
($620.44 ± 26.45)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
121 (32 clusters)
Increase probability:
74.12% (± 9.03%)
Return:
1.74 ± 4.81 %
($617.31 ± 29.2)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
61 (15 clusters)
Increase probability:
81.70% (± 11.23%)
Return:
2.04 ± 3.21 %
($619.17 ± 19.46)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.99, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.29, RSI around 65.15 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
58 (9 clusters)
Increase probability:
77.90% (± 12.36%)
Return:
1.40 ± 2.93 %
($615.3 ± 17.76)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.29, RSI around 65.15
Date around YYYY-06-24, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
140 (18 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.66% (± 9.04%)
Return:
1.63 ± 4.62 %
($616.65 ± 28.03)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-06-24, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Date around YYYY-06-24, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
384 (25 clusters)
Increase probability:
73.96% (± 5.08%)
Return:
1.90 ± 4.03 %
($618.32 ± 24.46)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-06-24, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Date around YYYY-06-24, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Middle Keltner Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
286 (30 clusters)
Increase probability:
71.81% (± 6.03%)
Return:
1.71 ± 3.89 %
($617.14 ± 23.6)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-06-24, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Middle Keltner Slope increasing