SPY Probabilities - Based on Fri Nov 07 2025
Best Probability: Price-to-SMA200 around 1.10, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, RSI around 49.05, MACD Histogram < 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
100 (45 clusters)
Increase probability:
74.69% (± 9.86%)
Return:
2.32 ± 4.75 %
($686.53 ± 31.85)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.10, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, RSI around 49.05, MACD Histogram < 0
No Filter (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
8232 (1 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.43% (± 1.19%)
Return:
1.44 ± 5.73 %
($680.63 ± 38.45)
Indicators used:
No Filter
RSI around 49.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
1246 (341 clusters)
Increase probability:
62.28% (± 3.11%)
Return:
1.42 ± 6.03 %
($680.51 ± 40.43)
Indicators used:
RSI around 49.05
RSI Slope decreasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
3861 (388 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.83% (± 1.74%)
Return:
1.49 ± 6.00 %
($680.99 ± 40.23)
Indicators used:
RSI Slope decreasing
MACD Histogram < 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
4039 (261 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.26% (± 1.70%)
Return:
1.46 ± 6.23 %
($680.8 ± 41.81)
Indicators used:
MACD Histogram < 0
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
2258 (331 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.30% (± 2.29%)
Return:
1.24 ± 5.08 %
($679.29 ± 34.06)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02
Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
2071 (131 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.99% (± 2.32%)
Return:
1.49 ± 4.72 %
($680.93 ± 31.7)
Indicators used:
Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Middle Keltner Slope decreasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
2741 (202 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.79% (± 2.07%)
Return:
1.79 ± 7.31 %
($682.98 ± 49.05)
Indicators used:
Middle Keltner Slope decreasing
SMA50 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
5858 (66 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.08% (± 1.40%)
Return:
1.32 ± 4.71 %
($679.85 ± 31.59)
Indicators used:
SMA50 Slope increasing
SMA100 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
6091 (38 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.62% (± 1.36%)
Return:
1.49 ± 4.80 %
($680.96 ± 32.2)
Indicators used:
SMA100 Slope increasing
SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
6411 (23 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.82% (± 1.32%)
Return:
1.52 ± 4.82 %
($681.15 ± 32.35)
Indicators used:
SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.10 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1615 (109 clusters)
Increase probability:
71.04% (± 2.56%)
Return:
1.73 ± 4.54 %
($682.55 ± 30.47)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.10
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1670 (26 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.59% (± 2.62%)
Return:
1.49 ± 5.58 %
($680.98 ± 37.47)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.35 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
93 (16 clusters)
Increase probability:
73.33% (± 10.40%)
Return:
2.08 ± 5.39 %
($684.95 ± 36.15)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.35
Date around YYYY-11-07 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
661 (32 clusters)
Increase probability:
74.74% (± 3.83%)
Return:
1.96 ± 4.75 %
($684.14 ± 31.85)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-11-07
RSI around 49.05, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
170 (80 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.69% (± 8.26%)
Return:
1.67 ± 4.67 %
($682.16 ± 31.33)
Indicators used:
RSI around 49.05, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
RSI around 49.05, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
256 (112 clusters)
Increase probability:
59.25% (± 6.96%)
Return:
0.77 ± 4.60 %
($676.16 ± 30.87)
Indicators used:
RSI around 49.05, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
RSI around 49.05, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
503 (203 clusters)
Increase probability:
68.91% (± 4.68%)
Return:
1.95 ± 5.05 %
($684.03 ± 33.88)
Indicators used:
RSI around 49.05, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
524 (140 clusters)
Increase probability:
63.05% (± 4.78%)
Return:
1.06 ± 4.85 %
($678.11 ± 32.55)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1553 (221 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.52% (± 2.72%)
Return:
1.33 ± 4.17 %
($679.89 ± 28.01)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
730 (194 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.39% (± 3.93%)
Return:
1.74 ± 5.18 %
($682.62 ± 34.73)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
259 (92 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.30% (± 6.66%)
Return:
1.46 ± 4.63 %
($680.77 ± 31.08)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
5184 (61 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.82% (± 1.47%)
Return:
1.44 ± 4.46 %
($680.65 ± 29.94)
Indicators used:
SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.10, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1576 (109 clusters)
Increase probability:
70.64% (± 2.60%)
Return:
1.68 ± 4.54 %
($682.25 ± 30.43)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.10, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.10, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, RSI around 49.05, MACD Histogram < 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
100 (45 clusters)
Increase probability:
74.69% (± 9.86%)
Return:
2.32 ± 4.75 %
($686.53 ± 31.85)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.10, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, RSI around 49.05, MACD Histogram < 0
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.10, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
48 (17 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.58% (± 15.66%)
Return:
2.04 ± 4.71 %
($684.64 ± 31.6)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.10, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
449 (55 clusters)
Increase probability:
72.63% (± 4.77%)
Return:
2.70 ± 6.30 %
($689.1 ± 42.3)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1579 (29 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.86% (± 2.71%)
Return:
1.37 ± 5.40 %
($680.13 ± 36.2)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
537 (43 clusters)
Increase probability:
63.13% (± 4.72%)
Return:
0.95 ± 5.67 %
($677.34 ± 38.02)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
166 (54 clusters)
Increase probability:
70.34% (± 8.04%)
Return:
2.76 ± 5.54 %
($689.52 ± 37.2)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
150 (41 clusters)
Increase probability:
62.97% (± 8.94%)
Return:
0.98 ± 5.47 %
($677.54 ± 36.71)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.09, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.02, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Date around YYYY-11-07, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
192 (14 clusters)
Increase probability:
77.28% (± 6.86%)
Return:
1.87 ± 3.46 %
($683.51 ± 23.24)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-11-07, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Date around YYYY-11-07, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
395 (25 clusters)
Increase probability:
80.86% (± 4.49%)
Return:
2.05 ± 3.47 %
($684.71 ± 23.25)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-11-07, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Date around YYYY-11-07, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
82 (14 clusters)
Increase probability:
74.65% (± 10.90%)
Return:
3.64 ± 5.02 %
($695.41 ± 33.69)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-11-07, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Middle Keltner Slope decreasing