SPY Probabilities - Based on Fri May 16 2025
Best Probability: Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, RSI around 71.07, MACD Histogram > 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
74 (23 clusters)
Increase probability:
81.95% (± 10.14%)
Return:
1.86 ± 2.25 %
($605.22 ± 13.36)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, RSI around 71.07, MACD Histogram > 0
No Filter (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
8115 (1 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.97% (± 1.20%)
Return:
1.40 ± 5.76 %
($602.52 ± 34.22)
Indicators used:
No Filter
RSI around 71.07 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
713 (151 clusters)
Increase probability:
68.99% (± 3.93%)
Return:
1.53 ± 3.72 %
($603.29 ± 22.11)
Indicators used:
RSI around 71.07
RSI Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
4283 (338 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.33% (± 1.65%)
Return:
1.33 ± 5.51 %
($602.11 ± 32.75)
Indicators used:
RSI Slope increasing
MACD Histogram > 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
4104 (255 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.08% (± 1.69%)
Return:
1.41 ± 5.25 %
($602.56 ± 31.18)
Indicators used:
MACD Histogram > 0
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.08 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
260 (77 clusters)
Increase probability:
58.46% (± 6.93%)
Return:
1.31 ± 6.53 %
($602 ± 38.8)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.08
Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.06 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
1300 (101 clusters)
Increase probability:
58.28% (± 3.10%)
Return:
1.11 ± 6.15 %
($600.77 ± 36.56)
Indicators used:
Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.06
Middle Keltner Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
5351 (165 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.92% (± 1.48%)
Return:
1.22 ± 4.77 %
($601.45 ± 28.36)
Indicators used:
Middle Keltner Slope increasing
SMA50 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
5758 (65 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.54% (± 1.42%)
Return:
1.28 ± 4.73 %
($601.78 ± 28.11)
Indicators used:
SMA50 Slope increasing
SMA100 Slope decreasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
2005 (40 clusters)
Increase probability:
58.45% (± 2.50%)
Return:
1.29 ± 8.01 %
($601.84 ± 47.57)
Indicators used:
SMA100 Slope decreasing
SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
6299 (22 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.30% (± 1.34%)
Return:
1.49 ± 4.85 %
($603.06 ± 28.83)
Indicators used:
SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1772 (125 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.66% (± 2.52%)
Return:
1.49 ± 4.56 %
($603.04 ± 27.12)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.97 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
818 (24 clusters)
Increase probability:
53.42% (± 3.95%)
Return:
0.62 ± 7.32 %
($597.9 ± 43.51)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.97
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.27 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
259 (29 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.32% (± 6.66%)
Return:
1.15 ± 4.32 %
($601.03 ± 25.7)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.27
Date around YYYY-05-16 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
636 (32 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.09% (± 4.29%)
Return:
1.43 ± 4.68 %
($602.71 ± 27.79)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-05-16
RSI around 71.07, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.06 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
64 (20 clusters)
Increase probability:
59.31% (± 13.93%)
Return:
0.93 ± 5.36 %
($599.74 ± 31.86)
Indicators used:
RSI around 71.07, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.06
RSI around 71.07, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
675 (143 clusters)
Increase probability:
69.46% (± 4.02%)
Return:
1.55 ± 3.59 %
($603.39 ± 21.34)
Indicators used:
RSI around 71.07, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.08, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.06 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
43 (17 clusters)
Increase probability:
53.49% (± 17.26%)
Return:
0.29 ± 5.15 %
($595.92 ± 30.57)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.08, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.06
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.08, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
81 (28 clusters)
Increase probability:
62.66% (± 12.19%)
Return:
0.98 ± 4.13 %
($600.02 ± 24.53)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.08, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.08, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
111 (35 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.64% (± 10.29%)
Return:
1.82 ± 4.84 %
($605 ± 28.79)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.08, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.08, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.06 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
33 (14 clusters)
Increase probability:
60.61% (± 19.30%)
Return:
0.85 ± 4.28 %
($599.25 ± 25.45)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.08, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.06
SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
5084 (60 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.25% (± 1.49%)
Return:
1.39 ± 4.49 %
($602.49 ± 26.66)
Indicators used:
SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1185 (116 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.09% (± 3.10%)
Return:
1.32 ± 4.05 %
($602.07 ± 24.09)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, RSI around 71.07, MACD Histogram > 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
74 (23 clusters)
Increase probability:
81.95% (± 10.14%)
Return:
1.86 ± 2.25 %
($605.22 ± 13.36)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.04, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, RSI around 71.07, MACD Histogram > 0
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.97, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
149 (11 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.21% (± 8.91%)
Return:
1.55 ± 4.68 %
($603.39 ± 27.79)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.97, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.97, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
108 (9 clusters)
Increase probability:
63.30% (± 10.52%)
Return:
1.59 ± 3.95 %
($603.63 ± 23.49)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 0.97, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Date around YYYY-05-16, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.06 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
78 (13 clusters)
Increase probability:
59.75% (± 12.59%)
Return:
1.46 ± 6.02 %
($602.85 ± 35.77)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-05-16, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.06
Date around YYYY-05-16, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
375 (25 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.42% (± 5.57%)
Return:
1.61 ± 4.41 %
($603.74 ± 26.22)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-05-16, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Date around YYYY-05-16, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Middle Keltner Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
276 (27 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.43% (± 6.45%)
Return:
1.66 ± 4.30 %
($604.04 ± 25.54)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-05-16, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Middle Keltner Slope increasing