SPY Probabilities - Based on Thu Feb 06 2025
Best Probability: Price-to-SMA200 around 1.08, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
159 (46 clusters)
Increase probability:
70.12% (± 8.23%)
Return:
1.96 ± 4.35 %
($618.2 ± 26.4)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.08, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
No Filter (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
8042 (1 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.26% (± 1.20%)
Return:
1.42 ± 5.72 %
($614.91 ± 34.69)
Indicators used:
No Filter
RSI around 57.36 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1599 (350 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.67% (± 2.69%)
Return:
1.33 ± 4.83 %
($614.37 ± 29.26)
Indicators used:
RSI around 57.36
RSI Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
4251 (334 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.61% (± 1.65%)
Return:
1.34 ± 5.49 %
($614.45 ± 33.28)
Indicators used:
RSI Slope increasing
MACD Histogram > 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
4066 (252 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.45% (± 1.69%)
Return:
1.42 ± 5.20 %
($614.96 ± 31.53)
Indicators used:
MACD Histogram > 0
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
2555 (333 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.56% (± 2.13%)
Return:
1.28 ± 5.16 %
($614.07 ± 31.31)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03
Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1877 (129 clusters)
Increase probability:
69.58% (± 2.41%)
Return:
1.63 ± 4.83 %
($616.21 ± 29.31)
Indicators used:
Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Middle Keltner Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
5326 (164 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.17% (± 1.48%)
Return:
1.23 ± 4.76 %
($613.78 ± 28.83)
Indicators used:
Middle Keltner Slope increasing
SMA50 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
5725 (65 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.76% (± 1.42%)
Return:
1.29 ± 4.72 %
($614.12 ± 28.59)
Indicators used:
SMA50 Slope increasing
SMA100 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
5959 (37 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.53% (± 1.38%)
Return:
1.48 ± 4.79 %
($615.29 ± 29.07)
Indicators used:
SMA100 Slope increasing
SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
6237 (22 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.76% (± 1.34%)
Return:
1.51 ± 4.80 %
($615.45 ± 29.11)
Indicators used:
SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.08 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1930 (121 clusters)
Increase probability:
70.47% (± 2.35%)
Return:
1.64 ± 4.38 %
($616.29 ± 26.55)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.08
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
2438 (38 clusters)
Increase probability:
65.31% (± 2.19%)
Return:
1.35 ± 5.06 %
($614.52 ± 30.66)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.34 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
128 (15 clusters)
Increase probability:
60.26% (± 9.81%)
Return:
0.72 ± 5.51 %
($610.71 ± 33.41)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Mean-Growth around 1.34
Date around YYYY-02-06 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
631 (32 clusters)
Increase probability:
61.70% (± 4.39%)
Return:
1.36 ± 6.80 %
($614.54 ± 41.2)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-02-06
RSI around 57.36, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
404 (134 clusters)
Increase probability:
68.07% (± 5.26%)
Return:
1.39 ± 4.49 %
($614.76 ± 27.22)
Indicators used:
RSI around 57.36, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
RSI around 57.36, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
357 (128 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.95% (± 5.65%)
Return:
1.36 ± 4.53 %
($614.55 ± 27.45)
Indicators used:
RSI around 57.36, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
RSI around 57.36, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1180 (296 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.61% (± 3.11%)
Return:
1.37 ± 4.37 %
($614.63 ± 26.47)
Indicators used:
RSI around 57.36, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
703 (140 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.85% (± 3.99%)
Return:
1.37 ± 4.70 %
($614.62 ± 28.51)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1904 (230 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.23% (± 2.44%)
Return:
1.28 ± 4.41 %
($614.06 ± 26.73)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1939 (256 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.51% (± 2.41%)
Return:
1.28 ± 4.44 %
($614.07 ± 26.89)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
596 (130 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.95% (± 4.33%)
Return:
1.38 ± 4.75 %
($614.71 ± 28.78)
Indicators used:
Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
5051 (60 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.51% (± 1.49%)
Return:
1.41 ± 4.47 %
($614.9 ± 27.08)
Indicators used:
SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.08, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
1837 (117 clusters)
Increase probability:
70.28% (± 2.42%)
Return:
1.60 ± 4.28 %
($616.04 ± 25.98)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.08, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.08, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, RSI around 57.36, MACD Histogram > 0 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
166 (64 clusters)
Increase probability:
63.72% (± 8.46%)
Return:
2.06 ± 5.01 %
($618.78 ± 30.36)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.08, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, RSI around 57.36, MACD Histogram > 0
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.08, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
159 (46 clusters)
Increase probability:
70.12% (± 8.23%)
Return:
1.96 ± 4.35 %
($618.2 ± 26.4)
Indicators used:
Price-to-SMA200 around 1.08, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
1736 (68 clusters)
Increase probability:
62.74% (± 2.63%)
Return:
1.09 ± 4.83 %
($612.9 ± 29.27)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Uncertain
Number of data points:
2174 (44 clusters)
Increase probability:
64.54% (± 2.33%)
Return:
1.28 ± 4.93 %
($614.06 ± 29.88)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
653 (62 clusters)
Increase probability:
68.18% (± 4.13%)
Return:
1.49 ± 5.49 %
($615.34 ± 33.26)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
754 (108 clusters)
Increase probability:
66.09% (± 3.91%)
Return:
1.20 ± 4.99 %
($613.62 ± 30.28)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07, Middle Keltner Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
260 (52 clusters)
Increase probability:
67.38% (± 6.59%)
Return:
1.21 ± 5.08 %
($613.63 ± 30.79)
Indicators used:
SMA50-to-SMA200 around 1.07, SMA200 Slope increasing, Price-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.03, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Date around YYYY-02-06, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05 (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
125 (15 clusters)
Increase probability:
72.87% (± 9.02%)
Return:
1.55 ± 6.19 %
($615.71 ± 37.55)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-02-06, Upper-to-Lower-Keltner around 1.05
Date around YYYY-02-06, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
415 (26 clusters)
Increase probability:
68.03% (± 5.19%)
Return:
1.61 ± 6.15 %
($616.08 ± 37.28)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-02-06, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing
Date around YYYY-02-06, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Middle Keltner Slope increasing (20Trading Day Ahead)
Status:
Might Go Up
Number of data points:
327 (26 clusters)
Increase probability:
68.00% (± 5.85%)
Return:
1.53 ± 6.50 %
($615.61 ± 39.43)
Indicators used:
Date around YYYY-02-06, SMA50 Slope increasing, SMA200 Slope increasing, Middle Keltner Slope increasing